pacman::p_load(tmap, sf, sp,
performance, reshape2,
ggpubr, tidyverse,
DT, stplanr)Hands-on Exercise 11: Calibrating Spatial Interaction Models with R
1.0 Introduction
1.1 Getting Started
In this hands-on exercise, we will learn how to calibrate SIM to determine factors affecting the public bus passenger flows during the morning peak in Singapore.
1.2 Overview
Spatial Interaction Models (SIMs) are mathematical models for estimating flows between spatial entities developed by Alan Wilson in the late 1960s and early 1970, with considerable uptake and refinement for transport modelling.
There are four main types of traditional SIMs:
Unconstrained
Production-constrained
Attraction-constrained
Doubly-constrained
1.3 Installing and loading R packages
2.0 Data Acquisition
We will be using 2 datasets in this exercise:
Weekday morning peak passenger flows at planning subzone level (i.e.
od_data.rds)URA Master Plan 2019 Planning Subzone boundary in simple feature tibble data frame format (i.e.
mpsz.rds)
3.0 Geospatial and Aspatial Data Handling
We will be using the st_read() from sf package to import the data into RStudio.
3.1 Importing Geospatial Data
mpsz <- st_read("data/geospatial",
layer = "MPSZ-2019")Reading layer `MPSZ-2019' from data source
`C:\kt526\IS415-GAA\Hands-on_Ex\Hands-on_Ex11\data\geospatial'
using driver `ESRI Shapefile'
Simple feature collection with 332 features and 6 fields
Geometry type: MULTIPOLYGON
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 103.6057 ymin: 1.158699 xmax: 104.0885 ymax: 1.470775
Geodetic CRS: WGS 84mpsz_sp <- as(mpsz, "Spatial")
mpsz_spclass : SpatialPolygonsDataFrame
features : 332
extent : 103.6057, 104.0885, 1.158699, 1.470775 (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
crs : +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
variables : 6
names : SUBZONE_N, SUBZONE_C, PLN_AREA_N, PLN_AREA_C, REGION_N, REGION_C
min values : ADMIRALTY, AMSZ01, ANG MO KIO, AM, CENTRAL REGION, CR
max values : YUNNAN, YSSZ09, YISHUN, YS, WEST REGION, WR Computing the distance matrix
dist <- spDists(mpsz_sp,
longlat = FALSE)
sz_names <- mpsz$SUBZONE_C
colnames(dist) <- paste0(sz_names)
rownames(dist) <- paste0(sz_names)Updating intra-zonal distances
distPair <- melt(dist) %>%
rename(dist = value)
head(distPair, 10) Var1 Var2 dist
1 MESZ01 MESZ01 0.00000000
2 RVSZ05 MESZ01 0.03528227
3 SRSZ01 MESZ01 0.03539590
4 WISZ01 MESZ01 0.18199800
5 MUSZ02 MESZ01 0.02687355
6 MPSZ05 MESZ01 0.01286792
7 WISZ03 MESZ01 0.17287059
8 WISZ02 MESZ01 0.13479457
9 SISZ02 MESZ01 0.06792530
10 SISZ01 MESZ01 0.05759682
Note
The value has to be lesser than the minimum value to get the intra-zonal distances
distPair$dist <- ifelse(distPair$dist == 0,
50, distPair$dist)
distPair <- distPair %>%
rename(orig = Var1,
dest = Var2)Write data to rds
write_rds(distPair, "data/rds/distPair.rds")3.2 Importing Aspatial Data
population <- read.csv("data/aspatial/pop.csv")
population <- population %>%
left_join(mpsz,
by = c("PA" = "PLN_AREA_N",
"SZ" = "SUBZONE_N")) %>%
select(1:6) %>%
rename(SZ_NAME = SZ,
SZ = SUBZONE_C)4.0 Preparing Flow Data
4.1 Importing the Origin Destination data
odbus <- read_csv("data/aspatial/origin_destination_bus_202210.csv")
odbus$ORIGIN_PT_CODE <- as.factor(odbus$ORIGIN_PT_CODE)
odbus$DESTINATION_PT_CODE <- as.factor(odbus$DESTINATION_PT_CODE) 4.1.1 Extracting the study data
odbus6_9 <- odbus %>%
filter(DAY_TYPE == "WEEKDAY") %>%
filter(TIME_PER_HOUR >= 6 &
TIME_PER_HOUR <= 9) %>%
group_by(ORIGIN_PT_CODE,
DESTINATION_PT_CODE) %>%
summarise(TRIPS = sum(TOTAL_TRIPS))
datatable(odbus6_9)Write data to rds
write_rds(odbus6_9, "data/rds/odbus6_9.rds")4.2 Importing bus stop data
busstop <- st_read(dsn = "data/geospatial",
layer = "BusStop") %>%
st_transform(crs = 3414)Reading layer `BusStop' from data source
`C:\kt526\IS415-GAA\Hands-on_Ex\Hands-on_Ex11\data\geospatial'
using driver `ESRI Shapefile'
Simple feature collection with 5159 features and 3 fields
Geometry type: POINT
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 3970.122 ymin: 26482.1 xmax: 48284.56 ymax: 52983.82
Projected CRS: SVY214.3 Importing MPSZ-2019
mpsz <- st_read(dsn = "data/geospatial",
layer = "MPSZ-2019") %>%
st_transform(crs = 3414)Reading layer `MPSZ-2019' from data source
`C:\kt526\IS415-GAA\Hands-on_Ex\Hands-on_Ex11\data\geospatial'
using driver `ESRI Shapefile'
Simple feature collection with 332 features and 6 fields
Geometry type: MULTIPOLYGON
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 103.6057 ymin: 1.158699 xmax: 104.0885 ymax: 1.470775
Geodetic CRS: WGS 84Write data to rds
mpsz <- write_rds(mpsz, "data/rds/mpsz.rds")4.4 Combing bus stop and mpsz
busstop_mpsz <- st_intersection(busstop, mpsz) %>%
select(BUS_STOP_N, SUBZONE_C) %>%
st_drop_geometry()
datatable(busstop_mpsz)Write data to rds
write_rds(busstop_mpsz, "data/rds/busstop_mpsz.rds") od_data <- left_join(odbus6_9 , busstop_mpsz,
by = c("ORIGIN_PT_CODE" = "BUS_STOP_N")) %>%
rename(ORIGIN_BS = ORIGIN_PT_CODE,
ORIGIN_SZ = SUBZONE_C,
DESTIN_BS = DESTINATION_PT_CODE)To check for duplicates
duplicate <- od_data %>%
group_by_all() %>%
filter(n()>1) %>%
ungroup()
od_data <- unique(od_data)
od_data <- left_join(od_data , busstop_mpsz,
by = c("DESTIN_BS" = "BUS_STOP_N")) duplicate <- od_data %>%
group_by_all() %>%
filter(n()>1) %>%
ungroup()
od_data <- unique(od_data)
od_data <- od_data %>%
rename(DESTIN_SZ = SUBZONE_C) %>%
drop_na() %>%
group_by(ORIGIN_SZ, DESTIN_SZ) %>%
summarise(MORNING_PEAK = sum(TRIPS))Write data to rds
write_rds(od_data, "data/rds/od_data_fii.rds")distPair <- read_rds("data/rds/distPair.rds")
od_data_fii <- read_rds("data/rds/od_data_fii.rds")
flow_data <- od_data_fii %>%
group_by(ORIGIN_SZ, DESTIN_SZ) %>%
summarize(TRIPS = sum(MORNING_PEAK))
head(flow_data, 10)# A tibble: 10 × 3
# Groups: ORIGIN_SZ [1]
ORIGIN_SZ DESTIN_SZ TRIPS
<chr> <chr> <dbl>
1 AMSZ01 AMSZ01 1998
2 AMSZ01 AMSZ02 8289
3 AMSZ01 AMSZ03 8971
4 AMSZ01 AMSZ04 2252
5 AMSZ01 AMSZ05 6136
6 AMSZ01 AMSZ06 2148
7 AMSZ01 AMSZ07 1620
8 AMSZ01 AMSZ08 1925
9 AMSZ01 AMSZ09 1773
10 AMSZ01 AMSZ10 634.5 Separating intra-flow from passenger volume df
flow_data$FlowNoIntra <- ifelse(
flow_data$ORIGIN_SZ == flow_data$DESTIN_SZ,
0, flow_data$TRIPS)
flow_data$offset <- ifelse(
flow_data$ORIGIN_SZ == flow_data$DESTIN_SZ,
0.000001, 1)4.6 Combining passenger volume data with distance value
flow_data$ORIGIN_SZ <- as.factor(flow_data$ORIGIN_SZ)
flow_data$DESTIN_SZ <- as.factor(flow_data$DESTIN_SZ)
flow_data1 <- flow_data %>%
left_join (distPair,
by = c("ORIGIN_SZ" = "orig",
"DESTIN_SZ" = "dest"))5.0 Preparing Orgin and Destination Data
5.1 Origin Attribute
flow_data1 <- flow_data1 %>%
left_join(population,
by = c(ORIGIN_SZ = "SZ")) %>%
rename(ORIGIN_AGE7_12 = AGE7_12,
ORIGIN_AGE13_24 = AGE13_24,
ORIGIN_AGE25_64 = AGE25_64) %>%
select(-c(PA, SZ_NAME))5.2 Destination Attribute
flow_data1 <- flow_data1 %>%
left_join(population,
by = c(DESTIN_SZ = "SZ")) %>%
rename(DESTIN_AGE7_12 = AGE7_12,
DESTIN_AGE13_24 = AGE13_24,
DESTIN_AGE25_64 = AGE25_64) %>%
select(-c(PA, SZ_NAME))Write data to rds
write_rds(flow_data1, "data/rds/flow_data_6-9.rds")6.0 Calibrating Spatial Interaction Models
6.1 Visualising the dependent variable
We will use a histogram to plot the distribution of the dependent variable (TRIPS).
SIM_data <- read_rds("data/rds/flow_data_6-9.rds")
ggplot(data = SIM_data,
aes(x = TRIPS)) +
geom_histogram()
ggplot(data = SIM_data,
aes(x = dist,
y = TRIPS)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = lm)
Checking for variables with zero values
summary(SIM_data) ORIGIN_SZ DESTIN_SZ TRIPS FlowNoIntra
Length:14734 Length:14734 Min. : 1 Min. : 0.0
Class :character Class :character 1st Qu.: 14 1st Qu.: 13.0
Mode :character Mode :character Median : 76 Median : 70.0
Mean : 1021 Mean : 839.9
3rd Qu.: 426 3rd Qu.: 379.0
Max. :232187 Max. :148274.0
offset dist ORIGIN_AGE7_12 ORIGIN_AGE13_24
Min. :0.000001 Min. : 0.00156 Min. : 0 Min. : 0
1st Qu.:1.000000 1st Qu.: 0.03194 1st Qu.: 240 1st Qu.: 440
Median :1.000000 Median : 0.05672 Median : 700 Median : 1350
Mean :0.982150 Mean : 0.95446 Mean :1032 Mean : 2269
3rd Qu.:1.000000 3rd Qu.: 0.09057 3rd Qu.:1480 3rd Qu.: 3260
Max. :1.000000 Max. :50.00000 Max. :6340 Max. :16380
ORIGIN_AGE25_64 DESTIN_AGE7_12 DESTIN_AGE13_24 DESTIN_AGE25_64
Min. : 0 Min. : 0 Min. : 0 Min. : 0
1st Qu.: 2200 1st Qu.: 240 1st Qu.: 460 1st Qu.: 2200
Median : 6810 Median : 720 Median : 1420 Median : 7030
Mean :10487 Mean :1033 Mean : 2290 Mean :10574
3rd Qu.:15770 3rd Qu.:1500 3rd Qu.: 3260 3rd Qu.:15830
Max. :74610 Max. :6340 Max. :16380 Max. :74610
Note
We are going to perform log transformation for poisson distribution. Log 0 will give us infinite. This is why we are replacing destinations with 0 into 0.99 (or any random number that is < 1)
SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE7_12 <- ifelse(
SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE7_12 == 0,
0.99, SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE7_12)
SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE13_24 <- ifelse(
SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE13_24 == 0,
0.99, SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE13_24)
SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE25_64 <- ifelse(
SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE25_64 == 0,
0.99, SIM_data$DESTIN_AGE25_64)
SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE7_12 <- ifelse(
SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE7_12 == 0,
0.99, SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE7_12)
SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE13_24 <- ifelse(
SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE13_24 == 0,
0.99, SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE13_24)
SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE25_64 <- ifelse(
SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE25_64 == 0,
0.99, SIM_data$ORIGIN_AGE25_64)summary(SIM_data) ORIGIN_SZ DESTIN_SZ TRIPS FlowNoIntra
Length:14734 Length:14734 Min. : 1 Min. : 0.0
Class :character Class :character 1st Qu.: 14 1st Qu.: 13.0
Mode :character Mode :character Median : 76 Median : 70.0
Mean : 1021 Mean : 839.9
3rd Qu.: 426 3rd Qu.: 379.0
Max. :232187 Max. :148274.0
offset dist ORIGIN_AGE7_12 ORIGIN_AGE13_24
Min. :0.000001 Min. : 0.00156 Min. : 0.99 Min. : 0.99
1st Qu.:1.000000 1st Qu.: 0.03194 1st Qu.: 240.00 1st Qu.: 440.00
Median :1.000000 Median : 0.05672 Median : 700.00 Median : 1350.00
Mean :0.982150 Mean : 0.95446 Mean :1031.86 Mean : 2268.84
3rd Qu.:1.000000 3rd Qu.: 0.09057 3rd Qu.:1480.00 3rd Qu.: 3260.00
Max. :1.000000 Max. :50.00000 Max. :6340.00 Max. :16380.00
ORIGIN_AGE25_64 DESTIN_AGE7_12 DESTIN_AGE13_24 DESTIN_AGE25_64
Min. : 0.99 Min. : 0.99 Min. : 0.99 Min. : 0.99
1st Qu.: 2200.00 1st Qu.: 240.00 1st Qu.: 460.00 1st Qu.: 2200.00
Median : 6810.00 Median : 720.00 Median : 1420.00 Median : 7030.00
Mean :10487.62 Mean :1033.40 Mean : 2290.35 Mean :10574.46
3rd Qu.:15770.00 3rd Qu.:1500.00 3rd Qu.: 3260.00 3rd Qu.:15830.00
Max. :74610.00 Max. :6340.00 Max. :16380.00 Max. :74610.00 6.2 Unconstrained Spatial Interaction Model
In this section, we will learn how to calibrate an unconstrained spatial interaction model by using glm() of Base Stats. The explanatory variables are origin population by different age cohort, destination population by different age cohort and distance between origin and destination in km.
uncSIM <- glm(formula = TRIPS ~
log(ORIGIN_AGE25_64) +
log(DESTIN_AGE25_64) +
log(dist),
family = poisson(link = "log"),
data = SIM_data,
na.action = na.exclude)
uncSIM
Call: glm(formula = TRIPS ~ log(ORIGIN_AGE25_64) + log(DESTIN_AGE25_64) +
log(dist), family = poisson(link = "log"), data = SIM_data,
na.action = na.exclude)
Coefficients:
(Intercept) log(ORIGIN_AGE25_64) log(DESTIN_AGE25_64)
5.26754 0.21583 0.03738
log(dist)
0.16862
Degrees of Freedom: 14733 Total (i.e. Null); 14730 Residual
Null Deviance: 60800000
Residual Deviance: 56360000 AIC: 56460000To measure how much variation of the trips can be accounted by the model
CalcRSquared <- function(observed,estimated){
r <- cor(observed,estimated)
R2 <- r^2
R2
}
CalcRSquared(uncSIM$data$TRIPS, uncSIM$fitted.values)[1] 0.06008549r2_mcfadden(uncSIM)# R2 for Generalized Linear Regression
R2: 0.073
adj. R2: 0.0736.3 Origin (Production) constrained SIM
glm denotes generalized linear model
orcSIM <- glm(formula = TRIPS ~
ORIGIN_SZ +
log(DESTIN_AGE25_64) +
log(dist),
family = poisson(link = "log"),
data = SIM_data,
na.action = na.exclude)
summary(orcSIM)
Call:
glm(formula = TRIPS ~ ORIGIN_SZ + log(DESTIN_AGE25_64) + log(dist),
family = poisson(link = "log"), data = SIM_data, na.action = na.exclude)
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
(Intercept) 6.618e+00 3.664e-03 1806.306 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ02 1.421e+00 4.450e-03 319.396 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ03 6.283e-01 4.563e-03 137.690 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ04 -2.927e-02 5.187e-03 -5.643 1.67e-08 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ05 -7.865e-02 5.790e-03 -13.584 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ06 9.308e-01 5.129e-03 181.474 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ07 -1.231e+00 9.683e-03 -127.139 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ08 -7.398e-01 8.955e-03 -82.612 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ09 5.572e-01 5.407e-03 103.047 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ10 5.613e-01 4.714e-03 119.077 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ11 -1.901e+00 1.285e-02 -147.949 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ12 -1.302e+00 1.076e-02 -121.060 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ01 1.076e+00 4.344e-03 247.592 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ02 5.363e-01 5.079e-03 105.590 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ03 1.033e+00 4.489e-03 230.051 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ04 1.400e+00 3.895e-03 359.546 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ05 2.939e-01 4.546e-03 64.659 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ06 7.196e-01 4.543e-03 158.406 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ07 -1.494e+00 9.559e-03 -156.251 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ08 -1.491e+00 9.032e-03 -165.067 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ01 -2.179e-01 6.538e-03 -33.323 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ02 7.179e-01 5.114e-03 140.388 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ03 8.883e-01 4.933e-03 180.060 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ04 1.012e-01 5.913e-03 17.116 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ05 -1.449e-01 5.832e-03 -24.855 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ06 6.439e-01 5.871e-03 109.664 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ07 8.941e-01 4.426e-03 202.000 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ08 2.181e-02 5.348e-03 4.078 4.55e-05 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ09 1.835e-01 5.720e-03 32.075 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ01 -6.715e-01 1.481e-02 -45.335 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ02 -1.160e+00 1.923e-02 -60.299 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ03 -1.751e+00 3.930e-02 -44.555 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ04 -7.842e-01 2.305e-02 -34.018 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ01 -3.672e-01 5.222e-03 -70.327 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ02 -1.101e+00 6.741e-03 -163.334 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ03 -2.247e-01 5.793e-03 -38.785 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ04 1.139e-01 5.157e-03 22.090 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ05 -2.333e+00 1.247e-02 -187.121 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ06 -1.651e+00 1.618e-02 -102.069 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ07 -4.430e-01 5.653e-03 -78.353 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ08 -4.548e-01 5.811e-03 -78.268 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ09 -9.734e-01 8.687e-03 -112.049 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ10 -1.149e+00 9.130e-03 -125.840 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ11 -5.922e-01 6.595e-03 -89.803 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ12 -4.426e-01 9.148e-03 -48.375 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ13 6.358e-02 5.690e-03 11.173 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ14 -1.735e-01 6.629e-03 -26.167 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ15 -2.573e-02 6.053e-03 -4.250 2.14e-05 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ16 -1.587e+00 9.144e-03 -173.594 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ17 -2.158e+00 1.576e-02 -136.993 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ01 2.258e-01 5.552e-03 40.673 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ02 5.789e-01 6.459e-03 89.625 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ03 7.642e-01 6.147e-03 124.320 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ04 4.305e-01 5.083e-03 84.685 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ05 4.883e-01 4.554e-03 107.211 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ06 -1.441e+00 9.311e-03 -154.777 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ07 -9.905e-01 8.575e-03 -115.514 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBSSZ01 -5.848e-02 5.276e-03 -11.084 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBSSZ02 3.403e-01 4.787e-03 71.078 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBSSZ03 2.863e-01 4.689e-03 61.066 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ01 -2.155e-01 5.385e-03 -40.017 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ02 -1.214e+00 7.797e-03 -155.680 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ03 -2.272e-01 5.727e-03 -39.673 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ04 -1.997e-01 1.019e-02 -19.607 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ05 -1.718e+00 1.100e-02 -156.123 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ06 -7.214e-01 7.180e-03 -100.462 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ07 -2.152e+00 1.321e-02 -162.932 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ08 -1.330e+00 9.394e-03 -141.527 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCBSZ01 -2.442e+00 5.483e-02 -44.537 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCCSZ01 -1.803e+00 1.331e-02 -135.497 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCHSZ01 -1.207e+00 1.178e-02 -102.471 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCHSZ02 -4.718e-01 7.940e-03 -59.415 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCHSZ03 8.253e-02 5.836e-03 14.142 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ01 2.363e-01 5.117e-03 46.171 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ02 1.313e+00 5.085e-03 258.123 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ03 8.323e-01 4.522e-03 184.042 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ04 2.049e+00 4.558e-03 449.404 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ05 2.416e+00 5.301e-03 455.675 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ06 2.585e+00 5.039e-03 513.103 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ01 -4.117e-01 7.658e-03 -53.758 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ02 -1.719e+00 1.364e-02 -125.975 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ03 -9.292e-01 7.949e-03 -116.903 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ04 5.503e-01 4.460e-03 123.401 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ05 -1.632e+00 1.474e-02 -110.696 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ06 7.149e-01 4.204e-03 170.078 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ07 -3.338e-01 5.575e-03 -59.871 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ08 8.962e-01 5.801e-03 154.502 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ09 -1.090e+00 1.555e-02 -70.125 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZDTSZ02 -4.323e+00 8.341e-02 -51.833 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZDTSZ03 -4.098e+00 7.381e-02 -55.521 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZDTSZ13 -3.150e+00 3.129e-02 -100.697 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ01 -1.344e+00 9.191e-03 -146.263 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ02 2.564e-01 4.888e-03 52.456 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ03 1.855e-01 4.855e-03 38.213 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ04 6.520e-01 4.199e-03 155.264 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ05 3.432e-01 4.375e-03 78.435 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ01 2.141e-01 4.746e-03 45.117 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ02 5.541e-01 4.712e-03 117.598 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ03 3.805e-01 5.113e-03 74.415 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ04 9.450e-01 4.303e-03 219.601 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ05 1.312e+00 4.253e-03 308.580 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ06 -3.267e-02 5.413e-03 -6.035 1.59e-09 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ07 8.369e-01 4.455e-03 187.845 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ08 3.503e-01 5.353e-03 65.437 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ09 -2.997e-01 6.958e-03 -43.082 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ10 -2.634e+00 4.211e-02 -62.540 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ01 5.725e-01 4.869e-03 117.570 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ02 3.982e-01 4.924e-03 80.871 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ03 4.656e-01 5.286e-03 88.090 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ04 -9.676e-01 9.141e-03 -105.849 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ05 -1.857e+00 1.381e-02 -134.439 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ06 2.219e-01 4.852e-03 45.740 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ07 -1.792e+00 1.183e-02 -151.493 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ08 -3.036e-02 1.146e-02 -2.649 0.00807 **
ORIGIN_SZJESZ09 6.367e-01 4.959e-03 128.403 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ10 -9.497e-01 1.799e-02 -52.788 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ11 -1.067e+00 1.930e-02 -55.285 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ01 6.148e-01 6.403e-03 96.024 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ02 9.385e-01 4.521e-03 207.581 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ03 1.359e+00 4.188e-03 324.566 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ04 1.447e+00 4.279e-03 338.175 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ05 -3.689e-01 1.251e-02 -29.491 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ06 -3.068e-01 1.066e-02 -28.774 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ07 -1.968e+00 2.751e-02 -71.557 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ08 2.441e+00 4.108e-03 594.247 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ09 1.706e+00 3.900e-03 437.356 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ01 7.775e-02 4.902e-03 15.861 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ02 -4.266e-01 6.321e-03 -67.495 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ03 -4.143e-01 5.949e-03 -69.632 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ04 -2.410e+00 1.187e-02 -202.955 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ05 -5.971e-01 8.271e-03 -72.194 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ06 -3.483e+00 1.857e-01 -18.756 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ07 -9.782e-01 8.408e-03 -116.351 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ08 -1.441e+00 9.152e-03 -157.427 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZLKSZ01 -2.567e+00 3.874e-02 -66.249 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMDSZ01 -1.807e+00 2.802e-02 -64.503 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMDSZ02 -8.244e-02 1.035e-02 -7.968 1.61e-15 ***
ORIGIN_SZMDSZ03 -9.782e-01 1.703e-02 -57.441 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMPSZ01 -1.183e+00 8.367e-03 -141.384 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMPSZ02 -6.129e-01 6.898e-03 -88.845 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMPSZ03 -2.510e-01 5.319e-03 -47.186 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMUSZ02 -3.850e+00 1.038e-01 -37.106 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ01 -3.122e+00 3.529e-02 -88.468 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ02 -3.129e+00 2.323e-02 -134.724 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ03 -9.612e-01 7.777e-03 -123.596 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ05 -3.518e+00 4.964e-02 -70.879 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ06 -3.969e+00 5.576e-02 -71.186 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ01 4.520e-01 4.482e-03 100.855 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ02 -5.718e-01 6.470e-03 -88.376 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ03 -1.306e+00 7.788e-03 -167.652 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ04 -1.587e+00 9.091e-03 -174.616 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ05 -2.658e+00 1.579e-02 -168.362 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ01 6.046e-01 1.223e-02 49.449 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ02 -3.514e-01 7.232e-03 -48.592 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ03 1.047e+00 4.436e-03 235.923 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ04 1.293e+00 4.416e-03 292.767 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ05 5.868e-01 5.756e-03 101.954 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ01 -1.432e-01 1.043e-02 -13.734 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ02 -1.264e+00 1.477e-02 -85.543 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ03 -1.472e+00 3.672e-02 -40.092 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ04 -2.402e+00 3.683e-02 -65.215 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ05 -1.925e+00 2.245e-02 -85.776 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ01 1.821e+00 4.559e-03 399.506 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ02 1.090e+00 1.108e-02 98.362 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ03 -4.152e-01 1.939e-02 -21.407 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ04 -1.194e+00 3.112e-02 -38.353 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ05 -5.709e-01 2.628e-02 -21.727 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ01 4.519e-02 1.140e-02 3.963 7.40e-05 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ02 1.035e+00 4.614e-03 224.279 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ03 6.933e-01 4.626e-03 149.867 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ04 -7.887e-02 7.515e-03 -10.495 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ05 1.307e+00 4.325e-03 302.307 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ06 1.785e-01 8.641e-03 20.661 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ07 -1.908e+00 1.610e-02 -118.467 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ08 1.496e-01 6.382e-03 23.441 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ01 -1.605e-01 6.845e-03 -23.446 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ02 -7.467e-01 6.327e-03 -118.019 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ03 -2.058e-01 5.681e-03 -36.227 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ04 -9.496e-01 7.129e-03 -133.203 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ05 -1.016e-01 5.993e-03 -16.945 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ06 -4.031e-01 6.481e-03 -62.190 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ07 -1.545e+00 9.635e-03 -160.372 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ08 -2.829e-02 5.699e-03 -4.965 6.89e-07 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ09 -6.008e-01 6.631e-03 -90.605 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ10 -3.480e-01 6.511e-03 -53.452 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ11 -1.360e+00 9.799e-03 -138.828 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ12 -1.257e+00 1.044e-02 -120.458 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ13 -3.522e-01 6.412e-03 -54.922 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ14 -1.595e+00 9.847e-03 -161.951 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ15 -7.418e-01 1.026e-02 -72.270 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRCSZ01 -1.443e+00 1.265e-02 -114.082 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRCSZ06 -8.545e-01 8.474e-03 -100.831 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ01 -3.163e+00 3.237e-02 -97.712 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ02 -2.455e+00 2.776e-02 -88.431 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ03 -2.554e+00 2.379e-02 -107.356 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ04 -3.285e+00 5.567e-02 -59.009 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ05 -1.740e+00 1.644e-02 -105.832 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ01 1.279e+00 5.526e-03 231.369 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ02 -3.345e-01 8.212e-03 -40.734 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ03 1.191e+00 4.610e-03 258.328 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ04 1.568e+00 5.286e-03 296.625 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ05 3.042e-01 6.542e-03 46.501 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ06 -6.453e-01 1.719e-02 -37.539 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ07 -5.257e-01 1.255e-02 -41.891 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ08 -6.594e-01 1.221e-02 -54.017 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ09 -3.576e-02 8.572e-03 -4.172 3.02e-05 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ02 1.103e+00 4.408e-03 250.324 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ03 1.244e+00 4.163e-03 298.730 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ04 1.327e+00 4.866e-03 272.687 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ05 -3.336e-03 5.914e-03 -0.564 0.57267
ORIGIN_SZSESZ06 9.898e-01 4.688e-03 211.126 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ07 -2.182e+00 1.961e-02 -111.284 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ01 -6.832e-01 8.550e-03 -79.912 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ02 -6.643e-01 9.587e-03 -69.290 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ03 4.995e-01 5.167e-03 96.680 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ04 3.141e-01 4.791e-03 65.563 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ05 -1.513e+00 1.060e-02 -142.818 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ06 3.555e-01 4.540e-03 78.291 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ07 -5.096e-01 6.234e-03 -81.746 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ01 8.064e-02 7.752e-03 10.403 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ02 4.244e-01 5.686e-03 74.636 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ03 -6.362e-01 7.979e-03 -79.738 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ04 -1.334e+00 2.701e-02 -49.400 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ05 -1.999e-01 1.551e-02 -12.891 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSLSZ01 -2.749e+00 3.058e-02 -89.893 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSLSZ04 -5.564e-01 7.683e-03 -72.420 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSRSZ01 -1.716e+00 1.582e-02 -108.462 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ01 -2.224e+00 4.887e-02 -45.508 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ03 -1.357e+00 2.242e-02 -60.540 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ04 -1.695e+00 2.869e-02 -59.072 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ06 -1.913e+00 1.784e-02 -107.222 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ01 9.256e-01 5.812e-03 159.255 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ02 1.952e+00 3.795e-03 514.325 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ03 1.299e+00 4.108e-03 316.269 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ04 9.516e-01 4.741e-03 200.714 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ05 -3.450e-01 7.534e-03 -45.786 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ01 -1.729e+00 1.038e-02 -166.689 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ02 -1.547e+00 9.778e-03 -158.245 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ03 -2.022e+00 1.338e-02 -151.132 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ04 -5.979e-01 7.197e-03 -83.076 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ01 -6.167e-01 6.287e-03 -98.084 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ02 4.146e-01 4.347e-03 95.390 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ03 -4.150e-01 6.085e-03 -68.199 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ04 2.547e-02 5.778e-03 4.409 1.04e-05 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ05 5.069e-02 6.071e-03 8.349 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ06 1.429e+00 5.938e-03 240.674 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ07 1.779e-01 6.317e-03 28.159 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ08 -6.743e-01 9.109e-03 -74.030 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ09 2.528e-02 6.189e-03 4.084 4.43e-05 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ10 -3.573e-01 7.632e-03 -46.811 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ11 3.770e-01 5.459e-03 69.053 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ12 -4.200e-01 6.522e-03 -64.395 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ01 -2.139e+00 4.738e-02 -45.140 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ02 1.189e+00 7.313e-03 162.594 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ03 1.496e+00 7.051e-03 212.211 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ04 1.773e+00 7.458e-03 237.705 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ05 1.861e-02 1.403e-02 1.326 0.18476
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ06 2.326e-01 1.718e-02 13.538 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWCSZ01 3.906e-01 7.856e-03 49.719 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWCSZ02 -1.840e+00 3.159e-02 -58.232 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWCSZ03 -3.434e+00 1.241e-01 -27.673 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ01 1.070e+00 4.143e-03 258.364 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ02 1.363e+00 4.746e-03 287.136 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ03 2.867e+00 4.032e-03 711.267 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ04 1.506e+00 4.961e-03 303.632 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ05 3.204e-01 4.999e-03 64.083 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ06 1.593e+00 4.610e-03 345.615 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ07 2.564e-01 8.024e-03 31.949 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ08 -5.487e-02 7.870e-03 -6.973 3.11e-12 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ09 1.740e+00 4.400e-03 395.464 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ01 -3.480e-01 5.644e-03 -61.661 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ02 1.508e+00 4.970e-03 303.435 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ03 2.409e+00 4.270e-03 564.088 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ04 6.504e-01 4.538e-03 143.319 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ05 -6.287e-02 5.918e-03 -10.623 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ06 -8.520e-01 1.079e-02 -78.937 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ07 -6.046e-01 1.127e-02 -53.664 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ08 3.878e-01 6.103e-03 63.546 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ09 1.654e+00 4.238e-03 390.348 < 2e-16 ***
log(DESTIN_AGE25_64) 4.875e-02 8.886e-05 548.633 < 2e-16 ***
log(dist) 1.376e-01 1.558e-04 882.913 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
(Dispersion parameter for poisson family taken to be 1)
Null deviance: 60796037 on 14733 degrees of freedom
Residual deviance: 46038498 on 14453 degrees of freedom
AIC: 46130686
Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 7CalcRSquared(orcSIM$data$TRIPS, orcSIM$fitted.values)[1] 0.11882426.4 Destination constrained
decSIM <- glm(formula = TRIPS ~
DESTIN_SZ +
log(ORIGIN_AGE25_64) +
log(dist),
family = poisson(link = "log"),
data = SIM_data,
na.action = na.exclude)
summary(decSIM)
Call:
glm(formula = TRIPS ~ DESTIN_SZ + log(ORIGIN_AGE25_64) + log(dist),
family = poisson(link = "log"), data = SIM_data, na.action = na.exclude)
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
(Intercept) 5.4777610 0.0032623 1679.123 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ02 0.3304104 0.0041523 79.572 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ03 0.4290327 0.0040882 104.944 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ04 -0.5932931 0.0060630 -97.855 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ05 -1.1175515 0.0061802 -180.826 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ06 -0.7223102 0.0059238 -121.934 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ07 -1.6120969 0.0096068 -167.807 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ08 -1.0867635 0.0067763 -160.377 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ09 -0.8181854 0.0060431 -135.391 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ10 0.1947406 0.0043738 44.524 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ11 -0.0276307 0.0086187 -3.206 0.001346 **
DESTIN_SZAMSZ12 0.2966005 0.0049858 59.489 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ01 0.5107558 0.0037819 135.053 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ02 -0.2282228 0.0049506 -46.100 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ03 -0.2244837 0.0042690 -52.585 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ04 0.7227015 0.0034455 209.749 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ05 0.2009509 0.0038990 51.539 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ06 0.1248628 0.0042170 29.609 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ07 -0.2196711 0.0092920 -23.641 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBDSZ08 -1.6894249 0.0105721 -159.801 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ01 -1.1331879 0.0065579 -172.797 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ02 0.2225267 0.0052020 42.777 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ03 -0.1053843 0.0055600 -18.954 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ04 0.5882528 0.0048255 121.906 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ05 -0.6904313 0.0057091 -120.936 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ06 -0.5560314 0.0060926 -91.263 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ07 0.3644203 0.0040329 90.361 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ08 -0.7238142 0.0068741 -105.296 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBKSZ09 -0.0993059 0.0049053 -20.245 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBLSZ01 -0.7406591 0.0070211 -105.490 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBLSZ02 1.0088621 0.0065088 155.000 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBLSZ03 2.1778983 0.0073740 295.346 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBLSZ04 0.7366556 0.0131341 56.087 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ01 -0.6786731 0.0046910 -144.676 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ02 -0.7617258 0.0048825 -156.010 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ03 -0.7195690 0.0056848 -126.577 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ04 -0.3633364 0.0048884 -74.326 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ05 -0.4848266 0.0065961 -73.502 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ06 -1.7879491 0.0123043 -145.310 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ07 -0.3714753 0.0045283 -82.034 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ08 -1.1237375 0.0062620 -179.454 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ09 -2.4911290 0.0143528 -173.564 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ10 -1.6746933 0.0089270 -187.599 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ11 -1.6719462 0.0079279 -210.893 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ12 -0.5630911 0.0077710 -72.461 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ13 -0.4845079 0.0050824 -95.331 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ14 -0.1457430 0.0076307 -19.100 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ15 -0.9942595 0.0068680 -144.767 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ16 -2.6456443 0.0107901 -245.192 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBMSZ17 -3.0711742 0.0164766 -186.396 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBPSZ01 -0.2917225 0.0054594 -53.435 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBPSZ02 -0.9212403 0.0083253 -110.656 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBPSZ03 -0.3592020 0.0075080 -47.843 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBPSZ04 -0.4691507 0.0058061 -80.803 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBPSZ05 0.4215837 0.0039498 106.734 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBPSZ06 -0.5043489 0.0077380 -65.178 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBPSZ07 -0.1270560 0.0077742 -16.343 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBSSZ01 -0.3413382 0.0045802 -74.525 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBSSZ02 -0.7259743 0.0051072 -142.146 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBSSZ03 0.1624471 0.0038253 42.467 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ01 0.0152350 0.0041585 3.664 0.000249 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ02 -0.7939128 0.0065657 -120.917 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ03 -0.2255680 0.0047943 -47.049 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ04 -1.7225495 0.0103704 -166.103 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ05 -0.7219218 0.0067397 -107.114 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ06 -0.8746594 0.0059753 -146.380 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ07 -2.0328714 0.0105601 -192.505 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZBTSZ08 -0.9018397 0.0086820 -103.875 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCBSZ01 -5.3737678 0.3162417 -16.993 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCCSZ01 -1.4338475 0.0080138 -178.922 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCHSZ01 -1.5396460 0.0095266 -161.615 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCHSZ02 -0.0085847 0.0052283 -1.642 0.100598
DESTIN_SZCHSZ03 0.7087743 0.0039076 181.382 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCKSZ01 0.0427691 0.0047552 8.994 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCKSZ02 -0.2020766 0.0051521 -39.222 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCKSZ03 0.7743151 0.0038628 200.453 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCKSZ04 -0.2904884 0.0059847 -48.539 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCKSZ05 1.0036826 0.0065308 153.683 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCKSZ06 2.0464406 0.0045088 453.875 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ01 0.5523603 0.0047400 116.531 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ02 -1.9379488 0.0133366 -145.310 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ03 -0.8543802 0.0076542 -111.622 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ04 -0.0103566 0.0044884 -2.307 0.021030 *
DESTIN_SZCLSZ05 -1.1717628 0.0084063 -139.392 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ06 -0.0199241 0.0040206 -4.955 7.21e-07 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ07 -0.7121185 0.0052618 -135.338 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ08 -0.3179341 0.0057202 -55.581 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZCLSZ09 0.2071235 0.0063733 32.499 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZDTSZ02 -3.2205602 0.0348372 -92.446 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZDTSZ03 -1.8684995 0.0144104 -129.663 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZDTSZ13 -2.6339243 0.0161421 -163.171 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZGLSZ01 0.0788433 0.0051226 15.391 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZGLSZ02 -0.2914803 0.0046192 -63.102 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZGLSZ03 0.2488811 0.0038384 64.841 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZGLSZ04 0.1818347 0.0038024 47.821 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZGLSZ05 -0.0711610 0.0038853 -18.315 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ01 0.2411748 0.0038824 62.121 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ02 -0.3709251 0.0051169 -72.490 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ03 -0.8681406 0.0061011 -142.293 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ04 -0.1403892 0.0043607 -32.195 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ05 0.0121313 0.0044833 2.706 0.006813 **
DESTIN_SZHGSZ06 -0.5872369 0.0054075 -108.596 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ07 0.4011836 0.0040327 99.484 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ08 -0.3504560 0.0048965 -71.572 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ09 0.1420325 0.0051346 27.662 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZHGSZ10 -2.4587644 0.0262065 -93.823 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ01 0.3005254 0.0048210 62.337 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ02 -0.3605594 0.0051506 -70.003 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ03 -0.4017689 0.0056614 -70.967 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ04 0.1048993 0.0065523 16.009 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ05 -1.1184728 0.0097648 -114.542 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ06 0.1967248 0.0040595 48.460 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ07 -1.2030390 0.0081552 -147.518 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ08 -0.7746243 0.0078061 -99.233 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ09 -0.3624154 0.0053965 -67.157 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ10 1.0818876 0.0069241 156.250 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJESZ11 1.6183844 0.0065705 246.309 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ01 0.0245522 0.0064518 3.805 0.000142 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ02 -0.0047920 0.0051619 -0.928 0.353233
DESTIN_SZJWSZ03 1.0358211 0.0039234 264.010 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ04 1.1197348 0.0037169 301.255 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ05 -0.1814025 0.0060805 -29.833 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ06 0.4426206 0.0054539 81.157 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ07 -0.3065109 0.0279969 -10.948 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ08 1.2600841 0.0044496 283.193 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZJWSZ09 1.3962402 0.0033930 411.511 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ01 -0.5935781 0.0051536 -115.177 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ02 -0.7277434 0.0057129 -127.387 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ03 -1.5130062 0.0065167 -232.174 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ04 -2.0464989 0.0087371 -234.232 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ05 -0.8933616 0.0071069 -125.703 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ06 -2.0099718 0.0362066 -55.514 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ07 -1.1814500 0.0065750 -179.688 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZKLSZ08 -0.8211187 0.0050908 -161.294 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZLKSZ01 -1.6544575 0.0204117 -81.054 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZMDSZ01 -1.3730429 0.0198311 -69.237 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZMDSZ02 -1.4053204 0.0111332 -126.228 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZMDSZ03 -2.6769290 0.0250833 -106.722 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZMPSZ01 -1.0277814 0.0077124 -133.263 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZMPSZ02 -1.0427839 0.0060322 -172.870 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZMPSZ03 -0.2801069 0.0046387 -60.385 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZMUSZ02 -2.2964505 0.0199631 -115.035 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNTSZ01 -3.6313258 0.0447752 -81.101 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNTSZ02 -2.0060305 0.0108734 -184.489 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNTSZ03 -1.4432523 0.0076134 -189.567 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNTSZ05 -2.3519879 0.0249537 -94.254 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNTSZ06 -3.5606572 0.0428600 -83.076 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNVSZ01 -0.3599398 0.0044287 -81.274 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNVSZ02 -0.7900832 0.0052770 -149.721 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNVSZ03 -0.8365745 0.0054242 -154.231 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNVSZ04 -2.2385662 0.0106995 -209.222 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZNVSZ05 -1.9705402 0.0089054 -221.275 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPGSZ01 -0.2258910 0.0153033 -14.761 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPGSZ02 -0.5793807 0.0067211 -86.204 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPGSZ03 0.5769879 0.0040125 143.799 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPGSZ04 0.1664853 0.0044780 37.178 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPGSZ05 -0.1358928 0.0070686 -19.225 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPLSZ01 -0.2408740 0.0068271 -35.282 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPLSZ02 -1.2055502 0.0131159 -91.915 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPLSZ03 0.3987464 0.0095796 41.624 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPLSZ04 0.1446006 0.0093281 15.502 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPLSZ05 -0.6054692 0.0116813 -51.832 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPNSZ01 0.9963915 0.0049895 199.697 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPNSZ02 2.3486119 0.0063996 366.992 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPNSZ03 1.5167313 0.0076834 197.404 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPNSZ04 3.2516970 0.0075922 428.296 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPNSZ05 2.2658985 0.0116033 195.281 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ01 -1.1673000 0.0084653 -137.892 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ02 -0.0178141 0.0049822 -3.576 0.000350 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ03 0.5267579 0.0038487 136.866 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ04 -0.0425810 0.0079028 -5.388 7.12e-08 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ05 0.0516606 0.0044928 11.499 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ06 0.0593646 0.0052011 11.414 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ07 -0.8729927 0.0117286 -74.433 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZPRSZ08 -0.7620137 0.0064859 -117.488 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ01 -0.8363786 0.0085380 -97.959 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ02 -1.4845687 0.0073422 -202.197 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ03 -0.5877259 0.0064030 -91.789 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ04 -0.9609097 0.0065332 -147.081 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ05 -0.7855659 0.0058468 -134.357 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ06 -1.1388110 0.0063558 -179.176 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ07 -1.7175385 0.0108716 -157.984 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ08 -0.1900917 0.0047972 -39.625 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ09 -0.7686528 0.0057360 -134.005 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ10 -0.7402663 0.0054193 -136.597 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ11 -0.3234695 0.0053427 -60.545 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ12 -0.7323382 0.0070666 -103.634 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ13 -0.3161115 0.0051316 -61.601 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ14 -0.7206135 0.0062232 -115.796 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZQTSZ15 -0.7950708 0.0073110 -108.750 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZRCSZ01 -0.8923599 0.0071791 -124.300 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZRCSZ06 -2.5109788 0.0188784 -133.008 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZRVSZ01 -2.1578165 0.0162313 -132.941 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZRVSZ02 -3.6467660 0.0326138 -111.817 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZRVSZ03 -2.4522367 0.0135072 -181.550 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZRVSZ04 -1.7327128 0.0154964 -111.814 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZRVSZ05 -2.5405647 0.0256301 -99.124 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ01 0.7773609 0.0060555 128.372 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ02 -0.7753882 0.0076331 -101.583 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ03 1.1439059 0.0041362 276.558 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ04 0.7756957 0.0051317 151.157 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ05 -0.4703749 0.0071951 -65.374 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ06 -0.9449381 0.0221614 -42.639 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ07 -0.5318404 0.0181592 -29.288 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ08 1.6890625 0.0051542 327.708 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSBSZ09 1.0163073 0.0048320 210.328 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSESZ02 0.0103661 0.0046592 2.225 0.026088 *
DESTIN_SZSESZ03 0.6383625 0.0036909 172.958 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSESZ04 -0.3170531 0.0054197 -58.500 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSESZ05 -0.1480247 0.0047498 -31.165 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSESZ06 -0.0908923 0.0056985 -15.950 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSESZ07 -2.8719579 0.0226798 -126.631 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSGSZ01 -0.1091326 0.0058269 -18.729 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSGSZ02 -0.1176104 0.0051632 -22.778 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSGSZ03 -0.2612529 0.0047148 -55.411 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSGSZ04 -0.0679384 0.0046855 -14.500 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSGSZ05 -2.1094611 0.0097908 -215.454 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSGSZ06 0.3055991 0.0037945 80.537 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSGSZ07 -0.4412632 0.0051368 -85.902 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSISZ01 -1.4200837 0.0257790 -55.087 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSKSZ01 -0.5211057 0.0066861 -77.939 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSKSZ02 0.9420459 0.0050245 187.489 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSKSZ03 -0.2673170 0.0059134 -45.205 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSKSZ04 -0.0401903 0.0139589 -2.879 0.003987 **
DESTIN_SZSKSZ05 0.5400893 0.0104719 51.575 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSLSZ01 -0.4964965 0.0083361 -59.560 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSLSZ04 -0.8766507 0.0070334 -124.642 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZSRSZ01 -2.2385449 0.0127211 -175.971 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTHSZ01 -2.3167800 0.0366844 -63.154 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTHSZ03 -1.6184479 0.0250830 -64.524 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTHSZ04 -1.7521474 0.0213695 -81.993 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTHSZ06 -0.7453421 0.0150028 -49.680 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTMSZ01 0.3686683 0.0055126 66.877 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTMSZ02 1.4441237 0.0032569 443.405 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTMSZ03 0.6968856 0.0037108 187.801 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTMSZ04 0.8764128 0.0037572 233.261 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTMSZ05 0.5878313 0.0051274 114.645 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTNSZ01 -1.3600040 0.0066980 -203.046 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTNSZ02 -1.9384382 0.0096536 -200.800 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTNSZ03 -2.0149187 0.0115714 -174.129 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTNSZ04 -1.3820409 0.0068501 -201.754 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ01 -0.5482582 0.0055765 -98.315 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ02 0.0220745 0.0037259 5.925 3.13e-09 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ03 -0.1636129 0.0054869 -29.819 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ04 -1.3730867 0.0071592 -191.794 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ05 -0.7292502 0.0056753 -128.496 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ06 1.1625916 0.0062588 185.754 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ07 -1.8217928 0.0116552 -156.308 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ08 -1.3260688 0.0085531 -155.039 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ09 -0.6491700 0.0059395 -109.298 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ10 -0.9096548 0.0084495 -107.658 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ11 -0.3797969 0.0050902 -74.613 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTPSZ12 -0.6133840 0.0061323 -100.025 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTSSZ01 0.8781103 0.0208572 42.101 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTSSZ02 1.3053220 0.0093361 139.814 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTSSZ03 2.2793001 0.0063864 356.901 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTSSZ04 2.0444882 0.0067322 303.690 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTSSZ05 2.8532101 0.0073787 386.683 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZTSSZ06 1.8243162 0.0138001 132.196 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWCSZ01 1.7389869 0.0045312 383.780 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWCSZ02 0.5896839 0.0122923 47.972 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWCSZ03 -2.1548088 0.0325120 -66.277 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ01 1.0510623 0.0034764 302.341 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ02 0.2241336 0.0055118 40.665 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ03 1.9044741 0.0036020 528.721 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ04 1.0599097 0.0058242 181.983 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ05 0.4210241 0.0053887 78.131 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ06 0.3569768 0.0040320 88.536 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ07 1.2051089 0.0061709 195.289 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ08 1.3341671 0.0060851 219.252 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ09 0.7840570 0.0044817 174.946 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ01 1.4649707 0.0038241 383.089 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ02 1.1884776 0.0048155 246.801 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ03 0.6956186 0.0051274 135.667 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ04 0.6722569 0.0048641 138.209 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ05 -1.0038528 0.0100282 -100.103 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ06 -1.9082093 0.0098618 -193.494 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ07 -0.8952937 0.0111507 -80.290 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ08 0.3352520 0.0039560 84.746 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ09 0.4259684 0.0038880 109.559 < 2e-16 ***
log(ORIGIN_AGE25_64) 0.2286070 0.0001441 1586.468 < 2e-16 ***
log(dist) 0.1362730 0.0001582 861.385 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
(Dispersion parameter for poisson family taken to be 1)
Null deviance: 60796037 on 14733 degrees of freedom
Residual deviance: 45912361 on 14452 degrees of freedom
AIC: 46004552
Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 8CalcRSquared(decSIM$data$TRIPS, decSIM$fitted.values)[1] 0.1473186.5 Doubly constrained
dbcSIM <- glm(formula = TRIPS ~
ORIGIN_SZ +
DESTIN_SZ +
log(dist),
family = poisson(link = "log"),
data = SIM_data,
na.action = na.exclude)
summary(dbcSIM)
Call:
glm(formula = TRIPS ~ ORIGIN_SZ + DESTIN_SZ + log(dist), family = poisson(link = "log"),
data = SIM_data, na.action = na.exclude)
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
(Intercept) 7.1947237 0.0046356 1552.063 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ02 1.3827933 0.0044753 308.986 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ03 0.7628681 0.0045809 166.532 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ04 0.0608052 0.0051944 11.706 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ05 0.0601598 0.0058042 10.365 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ06 0.8823429 0.0051720 170.601 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ07 -1.1287849 0.0097004 -116.365 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ08 -0.8128973 0.0089813 -90.510 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ09 0.6909311 0.0054399 127.011 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ10 0.5586943 0.0047327 118.049 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ11 -1.7930596 0.0128637 -139.389 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZAMSZ12 -1.4646725 0.0107713 -135.980 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ01 1.1525459 0.0043728 263.572 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ02 0.6094412 0.0051083 119.304 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ03 0.9817539 0.0045134 217.521 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ04 1.4793091 0.0039189 377.485 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ05 0.3911463 0.0045685 85.617 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ06 0.8684953 0.0045698 190.049 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ07 -1.2345434 0.0095756 -128.926 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBDSZ08 -1.2989294 0.0090441 -143.621 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ01 -0.3624722 0.0065942 -54.968 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ02 0.6692586 0.0051834 129.115 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ03 0.8640137 0.0050069 172.565 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ04 0.0998758 0.0059661 16.741 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ05 0.0636438 0.0058774 10.829 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ06 0.4763548 0.0059487 80.077 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ07 0.9462019 0.0044814 211.141 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ08 0.1819027 0.0053908 33.743 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBKSZ09 0.2188010 0.0057742 37.893 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ01 -1.5934614 0.0149317 -106.717 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ02 -1.9846612 0.0193302 -102.671 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ03 -3.1194627 0.0395499 -78.874 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBLSZ04 -2.0528722 0.0233724 -87.833 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ01 -0.2905558 0.0052466 -55.380 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ02 -0.9805955 0.0067619 -145.018 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ03 0.0046423 0.0058236 0.797 0.42537
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ04 0.3096537 0.0051872 59.696 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ05 -2.2195122 0.0124779 -177.876 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ06 -1.1935774 0.0162057 -73.652 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ07 -0.2541027 0.0056845 -44.701 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ08 -0.3224968 0.0058321 -55.297 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ09 -0.7288720 0.0087184 -83.601 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ10 -0.9515232 0.0091549 -103.936 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ11 -0.3625659 0.0066255 -54.723 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ12 0.0211155 0.0092386 2.286 0.02228 *
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ13 0.1439198 0.0057212 25.156 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ14 0.0138342 0.0066961 2.066 0.03883 *
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ15 0.2151570 0.0060949 35.301 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ16 -1.4642176 0.0091635 -159.788 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBMSZ17 -2.0340650 0.0157763 -128.932 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ01 0.4453460 0.0056129 79.343 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ02 0.8601630 0.0065530 131.262 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ03 1.0546437 0.0062610 168.445 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ04 0.4458945 0.0051365 86.809 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ05 0.4911866 0.0046115 106.514 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ06 -1.2707898 0.0093380 -136.088 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBPSZ07 -0.9307883 0.0086036 -108.186 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBSSZ01 0.1287562 0.0052901 24.339 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBSSZ02 0.4694644 0.0048003 97.799 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBSSZ03 0.3313760 0.0047061 70.415 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ01 -0.1569142 0.0054173 -28.966 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ02 -1.0742802 0.0078124 -137.510 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ03 -0.2031566 0.0057620 -35.258 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ04 -0.0190660 0.0102497 -1.860 0.06286 .
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ05 -1.5629880 0.0110116 -141.940 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ06 -0.6727550 0.0072111 -93.295 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ07 -1.8922068 0.0132241 -143.088 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZBTSZ08 -1.2537906 0.0094098 -133.242 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCBSZ01 -3.0367172 0.0548476 -55.366 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCCSZ01 -1.7414569 0.0133207 -130.733 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCHSZ01 -1.4177112 0.0117911 -120.236 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCHSZ02 -0.6095546 0.0079596 -76.581 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCHSZ03 -0.2463056 0.0058536 -42.078 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ01 0.1438241 0.0051777 27.778 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ02 1.1127279 0.0052009 213.949 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ03 0.7729039 0.0045941 168.240 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ04 1.7973066 0.0047591 377.656 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ05 2.1618589 0.0058699 368.294 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCKSZ06 2.0868232 0.0057578 362.431 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ01 -0.4215643 0.0077062 -54.704 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ02 -1.5130267 0.0136568 -110.789 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ03 -0.9079304 0.0079805 -113.769 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ04 0.7159321 0.0044897 159.461 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ05 -1.7281227 0.0147643 -117.048 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ06 0.7703824 0.0042446 181.496 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ07 -0.2830965 0.0056199 -50.374 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ08 0.7686501 0.0059586 128.999 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZCLSZ09 -1.3629125 0.0156040 -87.344 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZDTSZ02 -4.3311757 0.0834143 -51.924 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZDTSZ03 -3.3599473 0.0738219 -45.514 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZDTSZ13 -2.9745577 0.0312949 -95.049 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ01 -1.3088610 0.0092068 -142.163 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ02 0.3159546 0.0049083 64.372 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ03 0.2680426 0.0048735 55.000 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ04 0.7903431 0.0042208 187.249 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZGLSZ05 0.4095391 0.0043955 93.173 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ01 0.3057533 0.0047658 64.156 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ02 0.6075397 0.0047343 128.328 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ03 0.4819039 0.0051334 93.875 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ04 0.9784251 0.0043249 226.229 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ05 1.2702646 0.0042797 296.813 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ06 0.1357276 0.0054288 25.002 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ07 0.8604689 0.0044721 192.408 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ08 0.2334927 0.0053743 43.446 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ09 -0.2888756 0.0069826 -41.371 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZHGSZ10 -2.9574102 0.0421287 -70.199 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ01 0.5101534 0.0049418 103.232 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ02 0.4266714 0.0049900 85.504 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ03 0.5093267 0.0053469 95.257 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ04 -1.0128003 0.0091764 -110.370 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ05 -2.0073346 0.0138483 -144.952 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ06 0.2526421 0.0049088 51.467 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ07 -1.8445580 0.0118653 -155.458 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ08 -0.5882455 0.0115487 -50.936 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ09 0.5783545 0.0050384 114.790 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ10 -1.6586625 0.0180840 -91.720 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJESZ11 -1.9276747 0.0195064 -98.823 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ01 0.5694009 0.0064952 87.665 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ02 0.9556766 0.0045907 208.178 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ03 1.3238655 0.0042705 310.004 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ04 1.3483478 0.0043618 309.124 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ05 -0.9827441 0.0126484 -77.697 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ06 -0.8835762 0.0108074 -81.757 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ07 -2.3647456 0.0275471 -85.844 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ08 2.1624798 0.0042886 504.235 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZJWSZ09 1.5699752 0.0040117 391.349 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ01 0.1036598 0.0049233 21.055 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ02 -0.4102885 0.0063385 -64.730 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ03 -0.3962791 0.0059674 -66.407 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ04 -2.1520557 0.0118819 -181.121 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ05 -0.2218404 0.0083053 -26.711 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ06 -2.7454372 0.1857668 -14.779 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ07 -0.8852047 0.0084276 -105.036 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZKLSZ08 -1.3429228 0.0091665 -146.504 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZLKSZ01 -2.7882101 0.0387917 -71.876 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMDSZ01 -1.2825591 0.0281105 -45.626 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMDSZ02 -0.7424381 0.0104134 -71.297 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMDSZ03 -1.4685290 0.0170673 -86.043 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMPSZ01 -1.1744242 0.0083843 -140.075 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMPSZ02 -0.6134586 0.0069170 -88.689 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMPSZ03 -0.1330217 0.0053360 -24.929 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZMUSZ02 -3.3321393 0.1037696 -32.111 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ01 -2.9697547 0.0353061 -84.115 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ02 -2.8912380 0.0232394 -124.411 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ03 -0.8472359 0.0077998 -108.622 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ05 -3.3188453 0.0496490 -66.846 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNTSZ06 -3.8472831 0.0557649 -68.991 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ01 0.5700036 0.0045171 126.187 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ02 -0.4576545 0.0064874 -70.545 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ03 -1.2733157 0.0078025 -163.192 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ04 -1.5914067 0.0091023 -174.837 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZNVSZ05 -2.5339573 0.0157927 -160.452 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ01 0.7517014 0.0140343 53.562 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ02 -0.5190278 0.0072531 -71.560 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ03 0.9369794 0.0044642 209.888 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ04 1.1561890 0.0044440 260.171 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPGSZ05 0.4531015 0.0057904 78.250 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ01 -0.4429489 0.0104625 -42.337 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ02 -1.3729354 0.0147914 -92.820 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ03 -2.2353739 0.0368508 -60.660 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ04 -2.6247173 0.0369099 -71.112 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPLSZ05 -2.0611319 0.0224646 -91.750 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ01 1.0356573 0.0050441 205.320 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ02 -0.2012295 0.0118250 -17.017 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ03 -1.8026285 0.0198195 -90.952 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ04 -3.1328448 0.0316202 -99.077 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPNSZ05 -1.9678530 0.0271167 -72.570 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ01 -0.2440928 0.0114559 -21.307 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ02 0.9931643 0.0046425 213.927 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ03 0.6741541 0.0046466 145.087 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ04 -0.2190989 0.0075538 -29.005 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ05 1.2790200 0.0043516 293.919 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ06 0.0525439 0.0086959 6.042 1.52e-09 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ07 -2.0898802 0.0161157 -129.679 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZPRSZ08 0.0965901 0.0064114 15.065 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ01 0.1638437 0.0068884 23.785 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ02 -0.6059815 0.0063525 -95.392 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ03 0.1025469 0.0057136 17.948 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ04 -0.8179364 0.0071591 -114.252 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ05 0.1857644 0.0060286 30.814 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ06 -0.1395301 0.0065168 -21.411 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ07 -1.4094781 0.0096554 -145.978 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ08 0.0712133 0.0057410 12.404 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ09 -0.5301072 0.0066617 -79.575 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ10 -0.3135467 0.0065455 -47.903 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ11 -1.3891128 0.0098211 -141.442 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ12 -1.1128717 0.0104637 -106.355 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ13 -0.3356659 0.0064472 -52.064 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ14 -1.5038358 0.0098629 -152.473 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZQTSZ15 -0.8306778 0.0103144 -80.536 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRCSZ01 -1.4614657 0.0126710 -115.340 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRCSZ06 -0.7095853 0.0085059 -83.422 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ01 -3.0716703 0.0323793 -94.865 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ02 -1.9590343 0.0277944 -70.483 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ03 -2.2268034 0.0238018 -93.556 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ04 -3.2265856 0.0556775 -57.951 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZRVSZ05 -1.1198270 0.0164794 -67.953 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ01 1.1348065 0.0056869 199.547 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ02 -0.6233077 0.0082574 -75.485 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ03 0.8536084 0.0046729 182.671 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ04 0.8139641 0.0053928 150.934 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ05 0.0723212 0.0065918 10.971 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ06 -1.0687580 0.0172894 -61.816 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ07 -0.4915912 0.0126428 -38.883 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ08 -1.1879402 0.0122917 -96.646 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSBSZ09 -0.7478891 0.0086175 -86.788 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ02 0.9584436 0.0044254 216.579 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ03 1.1400802 0.0041777 272.898 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ04 1.2233806 0.0049078 249.274 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ05 -0.0534740 0.0059326 -9.014 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ06 0.9882714 0.0047138 209.654 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSESZ07 -2.2658528 0.0196146 -115.519 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ01 -0.7173879 0.0085751 -83.659 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ02 -0.7151714 0.0096047 -74.461 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ03 0.4738697 0.0051876 91.347 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ04 0.4406680 0.0048059 91.694 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ05 -1.5289073 0.0106073 -144.137 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ06 0.4276626 0.0045551 93.886 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSGSZ07 -0.4397746 0.0062474 -70.393 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ01 -0.0138829 0.0078460 -1.769 0.07682 .
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ02 0.3528099 0.0057780 61.061 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ03 -0.6927765 0.0080363 -86.206 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ04 -1.5187785 0.0272873 -55.659 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSKSZ05 -0.4712757 0.0160372 -29.386 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSLSZ01 -2.8458431 0.0305966 -93.012 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSLSZ04 -0.8888062 0.0077002 -115.426 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZSRSZ01 -1.1355765 0.0158616 -71.593 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ01 -2.7863404 0.0489038 -56.976 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ03 -1.4080957 0.0224866 -62.619 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ04 -2.0171698 0.0287279 -70.216 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTHSZ06 -1.8351464 0.0178695 -102.697 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ01 0.5604487 0.0058513 95.782 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ02 1.9678616 0.0038170 515.554 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ03 1.3201067 0.0041328 319.422 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ04 1.0299096 0.0047834 215.311 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTMSZ05 -0.3770912 0.0075629 -49.860 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ01 -1.5362239 0.0103940 -147.798 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ02 -1.3382996 0.0097923 -136.668 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ03 -1.7581120 0.0133941 -131.261 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTNSZ04 -0.3600104 0.0072362 -49.751 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ01 -0.4243194 0.0063142 -67.201 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ02 0.5056738 0.0043689 115.743 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ03 -0.4831021 0.0061017 -79.175 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ04 0.0563888 0.0058108 9.704 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ05 0.2079791 0.0061113 34.032 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ06 1.4916476 0.0066533 224.195 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ07 0.0721819 0.0063496 11.368 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ08 -0.4665146 0.0091369 -51.058 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ09 -0.1162262 0.0062136 -18.705 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ10 -0.0750064 0.0076630 -9.788 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ11 0.3795047 0.0054891 69.138 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTPSZ12 -0.3767113 0.0065411 -57.592 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ01 -2.8817137 0.0475673 -60.582 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ02 0.2633308 0.0077930 33.791 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ03 0.5088915 0.0076099 66.873 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ04 0.5575907 0.0084234 66.196 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ05 -1.0552756 0.0146095 -72.232 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZTSSZ06 -0.8103389 0.0184179 -43.997 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWCSZ01 -0.0532843 0.0080261 -6.639 3.16e-11 ***
ORIGIN_SZWCSZ02 -2.2728454 0.0316596 -71.790 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWCSZ03 -4.0923659 0.1240985 -32.977 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ01 0.8220378 0.0041757 196.861 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ02 0.8557056 0.0047907 178.618 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ03 2.0917078 0.0041242 507.176 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ04 1.0841697 0.0050238 215.808 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ05 0.2252368 0.0050504 44.597 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ06 1.1960623 0.0046955 254.724 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ07 -0.1508969 0.0081424 -18.532 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ08 -0.5270782 0.0079377 -66.402 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZWDSZ09 1.5917936 0.0045096 352.978 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ01 -0.4390469 0.0056562 -77.622 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ02 1.3619372 0.0050871 267.723 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ03 2.3769859 0.0044095 539.062 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ04 0.6890592 0.0045577 151.185 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ05 -0.1234979 0.0059420 -20.784 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ06 -0.8599189 0.0108171 -79.496 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ07 -0.8771056 0.0113113 -77.542 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ08 0.2300538 0.0061494 37.411 < 2e-16 ***
ORIGIN_SZYSSZ09 1.3812002 0.0042952 321.569 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ02 0.1526141 0.0041766 36.540 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ03 0.2813718 0.0041080 68.493 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ04 -0.6348659 0.0060829 -104.369 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZAMSZ05 -1.0610182 0.0061875 -171.477 < 2e-16 ***
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DESTIN_SZWDSZ01 0.7257833 0.0035299 205.609 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ02 -0.2205409 0.0055718 -39.582 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ03 1.3354468 0.0037197 359.016 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ04 0.3054604 0.0059647 51.211 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ05 -0.2208012 0.0054360 -40.618 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ06 0.1598572 0.0041002 38.988 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ07 0.4829944 0.0063212 76.408 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ08 0.4984394 0.0062269 80.046 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZWDSZ09 0.3364950 0.0045855 73.383 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ01 1.0451208 0.0039044 267.674 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ02 0.3945910 0.0049333 79.985 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ03 0.0881536 0.0052960 16.645 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ04 0.1665535 0.0049360 33.742 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ05 -1.5556811 0.0100666 -154.540 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ06 -2.1810714 0.0098738 -220.894 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ07 -0.7680679 0.0112123 -68.502 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ08 0.1837570 0.0039779 46.195 < 2e-16 ***
DESTIN_SZYSSZ09 0.1106616 0.0039155 28.262 < 2e-16 ***
log(dist) 0.1116137 0.0001554 718.464 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
(Dispersion parameter for poisson family taken to be 1)
Null deviance: 60796037 on 14733 degrees of freedom
Residual deviance: 38742578 on 14175 degrees of freedom
AIC: 38835322
Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 8CalcRSquared(dbcSIM$data$TRIPS, dbcSIM$fitted.values)[1] 0.28364646.6. Model Comparison
model_list <- list(unconstrained=uncSIM,
originConstrained=orcSIM,
destinationConstrained=decSIM,
doublyConstrained=dbcSIM)compare_performance(model_list,
metrics = "RMSE")# Comparison of Model Performance Indices
Name | Model | RMSE
-----------------------------------------
unconstrained | glm | 4636.927
originConstrained | glm | 4463.066
destinationConstrained | glm | 4411.490
doublyConstrained | glm | 4076.661The print above reveals that doubly constrained SIM is the best model among all the four SIMs because it has the smallest RMSE value of 4076.661.
6.7 Visualising fitted values
df <- as.data.frame(uncSIM$fitted.values) %>%
round(digits = 0)
SIM_data <- SIM_data %>%
cbind(df) %>%
rename(uncTRIPS = "uncSIM$fitted.values")
df <- as.data.frame(orcSIM$fitted.values) %>%
round(digits = 0)
SIM_data <- SIM_data %>%
cbind(df) %>%
rename(orcTRIPS = "orcSIM$fitted.values")
df <- as.data.frame(decSIM$fitted.values) %>%
round(digits = 0)
SIM_data <- SIM_data %>%
cbind(df) %>%
rename(decTRIPS = "decSIM$fitted.values")
df <- as.data.frame(dbcSIM$fitted.values) %>%
round(digits = 0)
SIM_data <- SIM_data %>%
cbind(df) %>%
rename(dbcTRIPS = "dbcSIM$fitted.values")unc_p <- ggplot(data = SIM_data,
aes(x = uncTRIPS,
y = TRIPS)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = lm)
orc_p <- ggplot(data = SIM_data,
aes(x = orcTRIPS,
y = TRIPS)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = lm)
dec_p <- ggplot(data = SIM_data,
aes(x = decTRIPS,
y = TRIPS)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = lm)
dbc_p <- ggplot(data = SIM_data,
aes(x = dbcTRIPS,
y = TRIPS)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = lm)
ggarrange(unc_p, orc_p, dec_p, dbc_p,
ncol = 2,
nrow = 2)